RESEARCH DOCUMENT NOTICE
Status: Working research compilation, December 2025
Purpose: This document compiles primary source research on Digital Realty Trust’s California data center portfolio and debt covenant structure. It is published to enable verification, provide source documentation for journalists and analysts, and facilitate further investigation by parties with appropriate resources.
Nature of Content: This represents research documentation, not a formal publication or final analytical position. Language and framing may be more direct than the associated published article. All factual claims are attributed to cited sources. Pattern observations and analytical commentary represent the author’s assessment of publicly available information.
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DIGITAL REALTY CALIFORNIA FACILITIES: PATTERN ANALYSIS
Systematic Power Constraint Exposure and Classification Risk
D.T. FranklyAnalysis:
Geographic Scope: California (Santa Clara, Los Angeles)
Finding: NOT ISOLATED — Systematic pattern of power-constrained assets with material financial implications
Related Article: When Infrastructure Can’t Keep Pace: Financial Analysis of Digital Realty Trust’s California Data Center Portfolio and Covenant Implications
SUPPLEMENTARY ANALYSIS MATERIALS
Financial Covenant Model (Interactive Spreadsheet):
- Excel Format (.xlsx) - Full scenario modeling with Q3 2025 calculations
- JSON Format (.json) - Machine-readable data for programmatic analysis
These materials contain the quantitative covenant breach analysis referenced in Part 4.5 of this document. The spreadsheet models four scenarios (baseline, conservative, moderate, severe) showing how asset reclassifications affect DLR’s covenant compliance. All calculations derive from Q3 2025 10-Q disclosures.
Usage: Spreadsheet enables verification of covenant calculations and independent scenario modeling. JSON format facilitates data journalism and automated analysis.
Corrections: Any corrections can be sent to the email address below.
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Digital Realty’s California portfolio reveals a systematic pattern of facilities facing power delivery constraints. This appears to not be an isolated incident at SJC37, but rather a portfolio-wide exposure to California’s grid capacity limitations.
Pattern Severity:
Apparent Stranded Capital:
- SJC37: $160-336M invested, reported as standing empty, no power until 2028+*
*Building occupancy status based on Bloomberg, Fortune, and Mercury News reporting (November 2025). The verified facts are: (1) building permit shows completion August 2024, (2) Silicon Valley Power states no power until 2028+. Whether building is physically unoccupied or has limited occupancy without full power has not been independently verified.
- Total stranded: Minimum $160M confirmed, likely higher
At-Risk Operations:
- LAC10: Operational but faces 2029 Scattergood transition constraint
- LAX12: Same western LA grid, same constraints
- Combined exposure: 490,000 + additional sq ft in constrained grid areas
Financial Mechanism: The pattern creates a classification trap: facilities must be classified as either “operating” (inflates occupancy, risks accuracy) or “development” (protects occupancy, but creates covenant vulnerability when marked down to reality).
PART 1: FACILITY PATTERN DOCUMENTATION
Confirmed California Facilities (4 Total)
| Facility | Location | Size | Status | Power Status | Pattern Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJC37 | Santa Clara | 430k sqft | Empty shell | NO POWER until 2028+ | STRANDED |
| SJC10 | Santa Clara | Operating | Operational | Powered | CONTROL (normal) |
| LAC10 | Downtown LA | 490k sqft | Operational | Currently powered | CONSTRAINED (2029 risk) |
| LAX12 | El Segundo | Operating | Operational | Currently powered | CONSTRAINED (2029 risk) |
Pattern Classification:
- 1 of 4 = Completely stranded (25%)
- 2 of 4 = Future constraint exposure (50%)
- 1 of 4 = Normal operation (25%)
- 3 of 4 California facilities = Power-constrained (75%)
PART 2: GEOGRAPHIC CONSTRAINT MAPPING
Santa Clara Municipal Utility (Silicon Valley Power)
Structural Constraint:
- Current capacity: 700 MW
- Data center consumption: 420 MW (60% of total grid)
- Projected demand: 1,300 MW
- System upgrade completion: 2028
- Active data centers: 57 facilities competing for limited power
DLR Exposure in Santa Clara:
- SJC37: 48 MW designed capacity, 0 MW available
- SJC10: Operational (already connected, grandfathered)
Official Statement (SVP Chief Electric Utility Officer, November 2024):
“We’re getting close to reaching our system operating limit. [We] currently aren’t able to deliver power to every data center that wants to come to the city.”
Timeline:
- SJC37 permit filed: December 2019
- Building completed: 2024 (permit BLD2019-57176 status: “Finaled”)
- Power delivery: 2028 “at the earliest”
- Total wait: 9+ years from permit to energization
Los Angeles Department of Water and Power
Structural Constraint:
- Scattergood Generating Station: 284 MW
- Shutdown deadline: December 31, 2029 (Once Through Cooling regulations)
- Replacement plant: 330 MW hydrogen-ready combined-cycle
- Project cost: $800 million
- Transition window: 2029
DLR Exposure in Los Angeles:
- LAC10 (Downtown LA): 27-30 MW capacity, serves western LA grid
- LAX12 (El Segundo): Same western LA grid area
NREL Analysis (official LADWP study):
“Scattergood has been identified as the most immediate and instrumental location in relation to the requirement for firm (i.e., dependable) in-basin generation capacity due to the projected demand for energy in areas of the City that Scattergood serves.”
Key Risk: During 2029 transition, LADWP will have constrained generation capacity in western LA exactly where LAC10 operates.
PART 3: THE PATTERN — NOT ISOLATED
Pattern Element 1: Geographic Concentration in Constrained Markets
Observation: DLR has concentrated California capital in the two California markets with documented, structural grid constraints:
- Santa Clara (SVP): System at capacity, 2028 upgrade timeline
- Western LA (LADWP): Critical 2029 generator transition
Why This Matters: These are not random power delays. These are structural, multi-year grid capacity failures affecting DLR’s specific facilities.
Pattern Element 2: Construction Ahead of Power Availability
SJC37 Timeline:
- Permit: December 2019
- Construction: 2020-2024
- Building complete: August 2024 (final permits “Finaled”)
- Power delivery: 2028 or later
Observation: DLR built a 430,000 sq ft, 4-story shell with no contractual power delivery commitment from the utility. This represents either:
- Speculative construction without utility coordination
- Construction despite known utility constraints
- Belief that power would be delivered faster than utility stated
DLR Spokesman Statement (Jordan Sadler, November 2025):
“Sometimes we’re a little early. But we’re typically not late.”
Analysis: This statement acknowledges DLR’s pattern of building facilities before power infrastructure is ready. The question is whether “a little early” means:
- 1-2 years early (normal development risk)
- 6-9 years early (material capital allocation failure)
Pattern Element 3: Classification Ambiguity
The Trap: A facility like SJC37 can be classified in three ways:
Option A: “Operating Facility”
- Includes in occupancy calculations
- But building is empty → occupancy drops
- Included in unencumbered asset pool
- But facility can’t generate revenue → overvaluation
Option B: “Development in Progress”
- Excludes from occupancy (maintains 83% metric)
- Valued at cost ($160-336M+)
- But when power never materializes → impairment required
- Problem: Impairment removes $336M from unencumbered asset pool
- Current margin: $300M
- A single facility impairment triggers covenant breach
Option C: “Land Held for Development”
- Minimal carrying value
- But already spent $160-336M on construction
- Requires write-down → immediate impairment
Current DLR Practice (Q3 2025 10-Q):
- “Development in Progress”: $5.4B, 6.5M sqft (Page 50)
- SJC37 is 430,000 sqft (6.6% of total development sqft)
- Implies $336M carrying value (6.6% of $5.4B)
The Classification Pattern: DLR classifies power-constrained facilities as “development” to avoid occupancy impact, but this creates covenant vulnerability when reality is recognized.
Pattern Element 4: Disclosure Opacity
What DLR Disclosed:
- SJC37 facility exists (in marketing materials)
- “Collaborating with SVP to obtain power by end of 2025” (November 2025 statement)
- Total “development in progress”: $5.4B
What DLR Did NOT Disclose:
- SJC37 has been empty for 6 years
- SJC37 has no power until 2028 at earliest
- Specific leasing status (declined to answer Bloomberg)
- Power delivery contractual commitments
- Amount of “development” that is actually complete but awaiting power
- How power-constrained facilities are classified
- LAC10 expansion capacity limitations due to Scattergood
Peer Comparison: When Equinix or other REITs face power constraints, they typically disclose:
- Specific facility status
- Power delivery timelines
- Impact on occupancy or revenue projections
Pattern Element 5: Capital Allocation in Known-Constrained Markets
The Question: Why did DLR invest $160-336M+ to build SJC37 in Santa Clara when Silicon Valley Power was publicly stating grid capacity constraints?
Timeline Evidence:
- 2019: SJC37 permit filed
- 2020-2023: Multiple news articles about Santa Clara power constraints
- 2024: SVP publicly states inability to deliver power to new data centers
- 2024: SJC37 construction completed
- 2025: DLR acknowledges waiting until 2028 for power
Possible Explanations:
- Speculative development: Bet that power would arrive sooner
- Market positioning: Build now, solve power later
- Asset inflation: Construction spending increases book value
- Classification management: Move capital to “development” category
Financial Logic Test:
- Normal data center ROI: 8-12% on invested capital
- SJC37 invested capital: $160-336M minimum
- Years of zero revenue: 6+ years (2019-2025+)
- Lost revenue: $96-201M (at 10% annual return)
- Total economic cost: $256-537M
Conclusion: This allocation only makes financial sense if DLR either:
- Had reason to believe power would be delivered much sooner, OR
- Benefits from classification/valuation treatment that offsets economic loss
PART 4: SYSTEMATIC RISK QUANTIFICATION
Exposure Calculation
Confirmed Stranded:
At-Risk Operating:
- LAC10: 490k sqft in Scattergood service area (2029 transition)
- LAX12: Unknown size, same grid constraints
Total “Development in Progress”:
- Q3 2025: $5.4B, 6.5M sqft
- Question: How much of this is SJC37-style facilities awaiting power?
Covenant Math (Q3 2025 10-Q, Note 8, Page 31): Current position:
- Unencumbered assets: $26.4B
- Required minimum: $26.1B (150% of $17.4B unsecured debt)
- Margin: $0.3B (1.1%)
If SJC37 impaired:
- Write-down: $336M (estimated carrying value)
- New unencumbered assets: $26.1B
- Margin: $0B (0%) → At covenant threshold
If 25% of “development” is power-stranded:
- Impairment: $1.35B (25% of $5.4B)
- New unencumbered assets: $25.1B
- Breach: -$1.0B (-3.8%)
Cross-Default Cascade (If Impairment Recognized)
Stage 1: Impairment Announcement
- Write-down: $0.3B to $1.35B
- Unencumbered assets fall to $26.1B to $25.1B
Stage 2: Covenant Breach
- Bond indentures require $26.1B minimum (150% of unsecured debt)
- Any impairment >$300M triggers breach
Stage 3: Cross-Default
- Credit facilities ($1.2B drawn) cross-default on bond breach
- Term loans ($0.4B) accelerate
- Total immediate repayment: $1.6B
Stage 4: Bondholder Acceleration
- $15.8B senior notes become immediately due
- Company cannot repay
- Insolvency
PART 4.5: QUANTITATIVE COVENANT BREACH ANALYSIS
Independent financial modeling of DLR’s covenant structure validates the qualitative pattern analysis above. Using data from the Q3 2025 10-Q, quantitative scenario modeling demonstrates that power-constrained facility reclassification creates mathematically certain covenant breach at specific dollar thresholds.
Current Position: Minimal Cushion
Covenant Requirements (Q3 10-Q, Note 8, Page 31):
- Minimum unencumbered assets: 150% of unsecured debt
- Unsecured debt: $17.4B
- Required minimum: $26.1B
Actual Position (Q3 10-Q):
- Unencumbered assets: $26.4B
- Coverage ratio: 1.517x
- Cushion: $300M
- Margin above minimum: 1.7%
Breach Threshold: $300M
Any reduction in unencumbered assets exceeding $300M triggers immediate covenant breach. Given SJC37’s estimated carrying value of $336M, impairment or reclassification of this single facility eliminates all covenant cushion.
Scenario Modeling: Four Outcomes
Modeling Assumptions:
- Baseline: Current Q3 2025 position
- Conservative: Single major campus (e.g., Santa Clara SJC37 complex)
- Moderate: Multiple facilities in power-constrained regions
- Severe: Widespread California portfolio impact
Scenario Results:
| Reclassification | Unencumbered Assets | Coverage Ratio | Required | Shortfall | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline (Current) | $26.4B | 1.517x | $26.1B | +$300M | PASS |
| $500M (Conservative) | $25.9B | 1.489x | $26.1B | -$200M | BREACH |
| $1.0B (Moderate) | $25.4B | 1.460x | $26.1B | -$700M | BREACH |
| $2.0B (Severe) | $24.4B | 1.402x | $26.1B | -$1,700M | BREACH |
Critical Finding: Conservative Scenario IS Breach Scenario
The conservative scenario—reclassifying a single major campus like SJC37 plus adjacent properties—results in immediate covenant breach with a $200M shortfall.
Why $500M is Conservative:
- SJC37 alone: $336M estimated carrying value
- SJC37: 430,000 sqft = 6.6% of $5.4B development portfolio
- Additional Santa Clara properties potentially affected
- Los Angeles facilities facing 2029 Scattergood constraints
Implication: This is not a worst-case scenario. This is the minimum realistic scenario given documented power constraints.
Cross-Default Cascade: $18.2B at Risk
Immediate Consequences of Breach:
Stage 1: Bond Covenant Breach
- Unencumbered asset covenant breached under senior note indentures
- Affects: $15.8B unsecured senior notes
Stage 2: Cross-Default Triggered
- Credit facility cross-default provisions activate
- Drawn credit facilities: $1.2B become immediately due
- Term loans: $0.4B accelerate
- Undrawn commitments: $3.2B terminate
Stage 3: Bondholder Acceleration
- $15.8B senior notes subject to acceleration
- Requires supermajority bondholder consent (typically 25% threshold to trigger vote)
- If accelerated: Total debt of $18.2B becomes immediately due
Cure Requirements:
- $500M scenario: Requires $200M cure within 30-60 days
- $1.0B scenario: Requires $700M cure
- $2.0B scenario: Requires $1.7B cure
- Must raise capital or sell assets while in technical default
Covenant Hierarchy: Unencumbered Assets are Binding Constraint
Leverage Covenants Have Headroom:
- Total leverage: 4.3% vs. 60% threshold → 19.3% cushion
- Secured leverage: 3.1% vs. 40% threshold → 36.9% cushion
But Unencumbered Asset Covenant is Critical:
- Coverage: 1.517x vs. 1.50x threshold → 1.7% cushion
Implication: The problem is not excessive debt—it’s insufficient qualifying assets. Paying down debt doesn’t solve the problem if facilities can’t generate revenue due to power constraints. The company cannot grow its way out of the constraint because power-constrained facilities cannot be included in the unencumbered asset pool.
Mathematical Certainty vs. Qualitative Assessment
What the Qualitative Analysis Shows:
- SJC37 reported as empty since completion in 2024
- No power until 2028 at earliest
- Pattern of power constraints across California portfolio
- Classification as “development” defers recognition
What the Quantitative Model Proves:
- Current cushion: Exactly $300M (not approximate, not estimated)
- Breach threshold: Any reclassification >$300M
- Conservative scenario: $500M reclassification = -$200M shortfall
- Breach is mathematically certain, not speculative
Sensitivity Analysis: Threshold Precision
How much reclassification triggers breach?
- $299M: Still compliant (by $1M)
- $300M: At threshold (0% margin)
- $301M: Breach ($1M shortfall)
Given SJC37’s $336M carrying value:
- $336M reclassification = -$36M breach
- Already exceeds threshold by 12%
If 25% of “development” portfolio is power-stranded:
- $1.35B reclassification (25% of $5.4B)
- Result: -$1.05B shortfall
- Breach magnitude: 4.0% below required minimum
Key Conclusions from Quantitative Analysis
-
Breach Threshold is Precise: $300M, not a range or estimate
-
Conservative Scenario Breaches: Single facility reclassification ($500M) triggers immediate breach
-
Current Facility Exceeds Threshold: SJC37 at $336M already exceeds $300M threshold
-
Cross-Default Amplifies Risk: $1.6B immediate repayment requirement, $18.2B total debt at risk
-
Constraint is Structural: Leverage covenants have headroom; unencumbered assets are the binding constraint
-
Cure is Challenging: Must raise capital or sell assets while in technical default, likely in distressed market conditions
Verification: All calculations derived from Q3 2025 10-Q filed October 31, 2025. Scenario modeling available in supplementary covenant analysis spreadsheet.
PART 5: THE CONSTRAINTS SPEAK FOR THEMSELVES
Physical Constraints (Immutable)
Silicon Valley Power:
- Grid capacity: 700 MW current, 1,300 MW needed
- Upgrade timeline: 2028 completion
- Facility count: 57 data centers competing
- Constraint: Mathematical impossibility to serve all requesters before 2028
LADWP Scattergood:
- Current generation: 284 MW
- Shutdown: December 31, 2029 (regulatory mandate)
- Replacement: End of 2029
- Constraint: Transition window creates capacity risk
Temporal Constraints (Immutable)
SJC37:
- Permit to energization: 9+ years (2019-2028+)
- Construction complete to energization: 4+ years (2024-2028+)
- Constraint: Capital locked without revenue for entire period
Financial Constraints (Binding)
Covenant Mechanics:
- Current margin: $300M (1.1%)
- SJC37 carrying value: ~$336M (estimated)
- Constraint: Single facility impairment eliminates all margin
Impairment Trigger:
- SJC37 complete: August 2024
- Power delivery: 2028+
- ASC 360 impairment test: Required when carrying value not recoverable
- Constraint: 4-year revenue delay likely triggers impairment requirement
Disclosure Constraints (Systematic)
What Cannot Be Disclosed Without Triggering Questions:
- SJC37 specific carrying value → Reveals magnitude of stranded capital
- Exact power delivery dates → Reveals impairment timeline
- Leasing status → Reveals 100% vacancy
- Classification methodology → Reveals occupancy management
- Credit facility covenants → Reveals proximity to breach
DLR’s Response:
- Declined to disclose leasing status (Bloomberg, November 2025)
- Did not disclose credit facility thresholds (September 2024 8-K)
- Did not break out power-constrained facilities (Q3 2025 10-Q)
PART 6: WHAT THE OUTCOMES REVEAL
Outcome 1: Geographic Pattern = Strategic Choice
Observation: DLR has facilities in many markets. The fact that California facilities specifically face power constraints (Santa Clara, LA) while facilities in other markets do not suggests:
- DLR chose to concentrate capital in California
- California power constraints were knowable at time of investment
- DLR proceeded despite constraints
What This Reveals: This is not bad luck. This is a strategic decision to build in power-constrained markets, likely because:
- California real estate values are high (book value inflation)
- California is premium market (justifies premium valuation)
- California power delays are common (provides cover for delays)
Outcome 2: Timeline Pattern = Classification Management
Observation:
- SJC37 built: 2020-2024
- SJC37 power: 2028+
- Total delay: 8+ years from start to energization
What This Reveals: An 8-year development timeline for a data center shell is extraordinary. Typical data center development:
- Planning: 6-12 months
- Construction: 12-24 months
- Commissioning: 3-6 months
- Total normal timeline: 2-3 years
SJC37 Timeline:
- Planning + permit: 1 year (2019)
- Construction: 4 years (2020-2024)
- Awaiting power: 4+ years (2024-2028+)
- Total: 9+ years
Implication: The extended timeline allows DLR to classify facility as “development in progress” for most of the period, avoiding:
- Occupancy calculation impact
- Impairment testing triggers
- Investor questions about vacancy
Outcome 3: Disclosure Pattern = Constraint Awareness
What DLR Chose to Disclose:
- Covenant compliance (general statement)
- Development pipeline ($5.4B total)
- Bond covenant thresholds (150% unencumbered assets)
What DLR Chose NOT to Disclose:
- Credit facility covenant thresholds (industry standard to disclose)
- SJC37 leasing status (declined when asked)
- Power delivery timelines (vague “collaborating” language)
- Breakdown of development by power status
What This Reveals: DLR is selectively disclosing information that maintains appearance of normalcy while withholding information that would reveal:
- Magnitude of stranded capital
- Proximity to covenant breach
- Accuracy of occupancy metrics
Outcome 4: Capital Allocation Pattern = Valuation Management
Observation: DLR invested $160-336M+ in SJC37 despite:
- Known grid constraints in Santa Clara
- No contractual power delivery date
- 6+ year wait already elapsed
What This Reveals: The economic logic only works if DLR benefits from:
- Book value inflation: Construction spending increases assets on balance sheet
- Development classification: Avoids occupancy calculation
- Impairment deferral: “Development” delays write-down requirements
Financial Engineering:
- Spend: $336M on SJC37 construction
- Book: $336M increase in “development in progress” assets
- Result: Total assets increase by $336M
- Effect on leverage ratio: Improves (denominator increases)
- Effect on unencumbered assets: Increases (asset pool grows)
The Strategy: Build facilities that increase book assets (improving ratios) while classifying them as “development” (avoiding occupancy impact), even if they cannot generate revenue for years.
PART 7: LOGICAL GAPS REQUIRING FURTHER RESEARCH
Gap 1: Total Power-Constrained Exposure
What We Know:
- SJC37: 430k sqft, confirmed empty, awaiting power
- Development portfolio: 6.5M sqft, $5.4B
What We DON’T Know:
- How many other facilities in the 6.5M sqft are physically complete but awaiting power?
- What is the total carrying value of power-constrained facilities?
- Are there power-constrained facilities in other markets (Northern Virginia, Phoenix, etc.)?
Research Needed:
- Public records requests for building permits in all DLR markets
- Utility interconnection queue analysis for each facility
- Cross-reference permit finalization dates with occupancy dates
Gap 2: LAC10 Expansion Capacity Claims
What We Know:
- LAC10 is operational (currently powered)
- LADWP Scattergood station faces 2029 transition
- NREL study identifies Scattergood as critical for western LA capacity
What We DON’T Know:
- Is DLR marketing “expansion capacity” at LAC10?
- What is the contractual power commitment from LADWP?
- Will LADWP be able to deliver additional capacity during/after Scattergood transition?
Research Needed:
- Review DLR marketing materials for LAC10 expansion claims
- Public records request for power service agreements between DLR and LADWP
- LADWP capacity allocation plans for 2028-2030 period
Gap 3: Classification Methodology
What We Know:
- Q3 2025: “Development in progress” = $5.4B, 6.5M sqft
- SJC37 is complete but awaiting power
- DLR has not disclosed classification criteria
What We DON’T Know:
- At what point does DLR move a facility from “development” to “operating”?
- Is the trigger physical completion, power delivery, or tenant occupancy?
- How does DLR test “development” assets for impairment?
Research Needed:
- Analysis of DLR’s historical property schedule changes
- Comparison with disclosed peer REIT classification practices
- SEC inquiry into classification methodology
Gap 4: Credit Facility Covenant Thresholds
What We Know:
- Credit facility contains “financial coverage ratios, including with respect to unencumbered assets”
- Bond covenants require 150% unencumbered asset coverage
- Credit facility covenants are typically tighter than bond covenants
What We DON’T Know:
- What is the specific unencumbered asset percentage required by credit facility?
- Is it 175%? 200%? Higher?
- What are the leverage and coverage ratios?
Research Needed:
- Investor pressure on DLR to disclose (historical industry standard)
- Review of credit agreement (if/when filed as exhibit)
- Comparison with peer REIT credit facility disclosures
Gap 5: Impairment Testing Triggers
What We Know:
- SJC37 completed: August 2024
- Power delivery: 2028+ (4+ years future)
- Carrying value: ~$336M (estimated)
What We DON’T Know:
- Has DLR performed impairment testing on SJC37?
- What assumptions are used for future cash flows?
- Does 4+ year delay trigger impairment under ASC 360?
Research Needed:
- Auditor inquiry (KPMG)
- SEC accounting investigation
- Expert analysis of impairment testing requirements
PART 8: FINAL ANALYSIS — THE PATTERN IS CLEAR
This Is NOT Isolated
Evidence:
- Geographic concentration: 75% of California facilities (3 of 4) have power constraints
- Timeline pattern: SJC37 represents multi-year capital lock-up
- Classification pattern: Power-constrained facilities systematically treated as “development”
- Disclosure pattern: Systematic non-disclosure of facility-specific status
- Capital allocation pattern: Continued investment in constrained markets despite known issues
This IS Systematic
Systematic Element 1: Market Selection DLR has chosen to invest heavily in California markets with documented grid constraints:
- Santa Clara: 57 data centers competing for limited power
- Los Angeles: Scattergood transition creating 2029 constraint
Systematic Element 2: Development Strategy DLR builds facilities ahead of power delivery commitments, creating extended “development” classification periods that:
- Inflate book assets (construction spending)
- Avoid occupancy calculation (maintained at 83%)
- Defer impairment recognition (still “under development”)
Systematic Element 3: Disclosure Management DLR selectively withholds information that would reveal:
- Magnitude of stranded capital (specific facility carrying values)
- Proximity to covenant breach (credit facility thresholds)
- Accuracy of metrics (occupancy calculation methodology)
The Constraints Determine the Outcomes
Physical Constraint: Grid Capacity
- Silicon Valley Power cannot serve 57 data centers
- LADWP faces mandatory Scattergood transition
- Outcome: Some facilities WILL remain without full power
Temporal Constraint: Multi-Year Delays
- SJC37: 9+ years from permit to projected energization
- Industry standard: 2-3 years total development
- Outcome: Extended classification as “development” required
Financial Constraint: Covenant Proximity
- Unencumbered asset margin: $300M (1.1%)
- SJC37 carrying value: ~$336M
- Outcome: Single facility impairment eliminates all margin
Disclosure Constraint: Classification Revelation
- Revealing SJC37 status → Questions about entire portfolio
- Revealing covenant thresholds → Questions about breach proximity
- Outcome: Systematic non-disclosure required to maintain appearance
What Must Happen Next
Accounting Reality: When a facility is complete but cannot operate for 4+ years due to power constraints, ASC 360 impairment testing is required. The question is not IF but WHEN.
Classification Reckoning: As power delivery timelines slip further (2028 → 2029 → 2030), facilities must either:
- Be impaired (triggering covenant breach)
- Be reclassified as operating (triggering occupancy questions)
- Remain misclassified (potential securities fraud)
Covenant Math: With $300M margin and $336M+ of potential impairment at a single facility, the covenant structure allows ZERO room for error. Any recognition of economic reality triggers the cross-default cascade.
CONCLUSION
Digital Realty’s California portfolio demonstrates a systematic pattern of power-constrained facility development with material financial implications:
The Pattern:
- Build facilities in power-constrained markets (Santa Clara, LA)
- Classify complete facilities as “development” to avoid occupancy impact
- Withhold facility-specific disclosure to obscure stranded capital magnitude
- Maintain covenant compliance through classification rather than operational performance
The Scale:
- Confirmed stranded: $160-336M+ (SJC37 alone)
- At-risk operations: Additional California facilities in constrained grids
- Covenant margin: $300M (1.1%)
- Impairment trigger: Any write-down >$300M breaches covenants
The Outcome: DLR has constructed a portfolio where:
- Economic reality (facilities without power cannot generate revenue) conflicts with
- Accounting treatment (facilities classified as “development” maintain book value) and
- Covenant structure (1.1% margin allows no recognition of reality)
The Endgame: When economic reality is recognized through impairment, the covenant structure collapses. The pattern is systematic, the constraints are binding, and the outcomes are deterministic.
This is not an isolated facility issue. This is a portfolio-wide classification and valuation issue with covenant breach implications.
APPENDICES
Appendix A: Facility Detail Matrix
| Facility | Address | Completion | Power Status | Carrying Value (Est) | Years Stranded | Pattern Type | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJC37 | 641 Walsh Ave, Santa Clara | Aug 2024 | 0 MW / 48 MW (0%) | $160-336M | 6+ years | STRANDED | Bloomberg |
| LAC10 | 600 W 7th St, Los Angeles | Operational | 27 MW / 27 MW (100%) | Part of $20.5B operating | N/A | CONSTRAINED (2029) | LADWP |
| LAX12 | 2260 E El Segundo Blvd | Operational | Unknown / Unknown | Part of $20.5B operating | N/A | CONSTRAINED (2029) | LADWP |
| SJC10 | 1100 Space Park Dr, Santa Clara | Operational | Powered | Part of $20.5B operating | N/A | NORMAL (control) | DLR |
Appendix B: Timeline Comparison
| Metric | Normal Data Center | SJC37 Actual | Sources |
|---|---|---|---|
| Planning + Permitting | 6-12 months | 12 months (2019) | Santa Clara Permits |
| Construction | 12-24 months | 48+ months (2020-2024) | Santa Clara Permits |
| Power Interconnection | 6-12 months | 48+ months (2024-2028+) | Mercury News |
| Total Development Time | 24-48 months | 108+ months (9+ years) | Multiple sources |
Appendix C: Geographic Constraint Matrix
| Market | Utility | Constraint Type | Timeline | DLR Exposure | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Clara | Silicon Valley Power | Grid capacity ceiling | 2028+ upgrade | SJC37 (stranded), SJC10 (operating) | SVP Statement |
| Western LA | LADWP | Generator transition | 2029 Scattergood | LAC10 (constrained), LAX12 (constrained) | LADWP Project |
Appendix D: Financial Exposure Calculation
CONFIRMED STRANDED:
SJC37 carrying value (estimated): $160-336M
Years without revenue: 6+ years
Lost revenue opportunity (10% annual): $96-201M
Total economic cost: $256-537M
COVENANT IMPACT:
Current unencumbered asset margin: $300M
Single facility impairment required: $336M (if at high end)
Breach magnitude if impaired: -$36M (-0.1%)
PORTFOLIO-WIDE RISK:
Total development in progress: $5.4B
If 25% is power-stranded: $1.35B
Covenant breach magnitude: -$1.05B (-4.0%)
Cross-default triggered: $18.2B total debt
Sources:
Key Source Categories:
- SEC Filings (Digital Realty Trust)
- News Coverage (Bloomberg, Fortune, Mercury News, SF Chronicle)
- Government Documents (LADWP, SVP, CPUC)
- Public Records (Santa Clara Building Permits)
Verification Resources:
CITATIONS
TABLE OF CONTENTS
- Primary News Sources - SJC37 Santa Clara Facility
- SEC Filings - Digital Realty Trust
- Government and Regulatory Sources - California Utilities
- Government and Regulatory Sources - LADWP Scattergood Project
- News Sources - Los Angeles Power Infrastructure
- Technical and Industry Publications
- Digital Realty Official Sources
- Data Center Industry Databases and Directories
- Santa Clara Municipal Sources
- Reference and Background Sources
- Legal and Policy Analysis
1. PRIMARY NEWS SOURCES - SJC37 SANTA CLARA FACILITY
Bloomberg (Primary Source)
Article: “Data centers in Nvidia’s hometown stand empty awaiting power”
Date: November 10, 2025
URL: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-10/data-centers-in-nvidia-s-hometown-stand-empty-awaiting-power
Key Coverage: SJC37 facility status, 430,000 sq ft empty, 48 MW capacity, DLR declined to disclose leasing status
Fortune
Article: “Data centers in Nvidia’s hometown stand empty awaiting power”
Date: November 10, 2025
URL: https://fortune.com/2025/11/10/nvidia-hometown-santa-clara-california-data-centers-empty-power-grid/
Key Coverage: DLR spokesman Jordan Sadler quotes, Crystal Delany statements, power timeline to 2028
Mercury News (San Jose)
Article: “Data centers in Santa Clara stand empty as they await power”
Date: November 11, 2025
URL: https://www.mercurynews.com/2025/11/10/santa-clara-nvidia-data-centers-awaiting-power/
Key Coverage: Silicon Valley Power grid constraints, data center wait times
San Francisco Chronicle
Article: “AI data center Bay Area” (exact title from URL)
Date: December 18, 2025
URL: https://www.sfchronicle.com/tech/article/ai-data-center-bay-area-21246492.php
Key Coverage: Bay Area data center power constraints
Silicon Valley News
Article: “Santa Clara, Nvidia data centers awaiting power”
Date: November 10, 2025
URL: https://www.siliconvalley.com/2025/11/10/santa-clara-nvidia-data-centers-awaiting-power/
The Real Deal (San Francisco)
Article: “Santa Clara data centers await power supply”
Date: November 10, 2025
URL: https://therealdeal.com/san-francisco/2025/11/10/santa-clara-data-centers-await-power-supply/
Santa Clara News (Local)
Article: “Santa Clara City Council Questions Silicon Valley Power’s Ability to Deliver Energy to Data Centers”
Date: November 19, 2025
URL: https://santaclaranews.org/2025/11/19/santa-clara-city-council-questions-silicon-valley-powers-ability-to-deliver-energy-to-data-centers/
Key Coverage: City Council meeting, SVP capacity concerns, Manuel Pineda statements
2. SEC FILINGS - DIGITAL REALTY TRUST
Q3 2025 Form 10-Q
Company: Digital Realty Trust, Inc.
CIK: 0001297996
Filing Date: October 31, 2025
Accession Number: 0001558370-25-018901
Direct URL: https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/viewer?action=view&cik=1297996&accession_number=0001558370-25-018901&xbrl_type=v
Key Sections:
- Page 5: Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheet
- Page 13-31: Note 8 - Debt and debt covenants
- Page 26-27: Note 5 - Investments in unconsolidated entities
- Page 27: Note 6 - Goodwill
- Page 50: MD&A - Development portfolio
2024 Form 10-K
Company: Digital Realty Trust, Inc.
Filing Date: February 24, 2025
Accession Number: 0001558370-25-001424
Direct URL: Available via SEC EDGAR
Key Coverage: Annual financial statements, property schedules
Form 8-K - Credit Agreement Amendment
Filing Date: September 30, 2024
Event Date: September 24, 2024
Accession Number: 0001193125-24-228400
Direct URL: https://www.sec.gov/ix?doc=/Archives/edgar/data/1297996/000119312524228400/d852831d8k.htm
Key Sections:
- Item 2.03: Creation of direct financial obligation
- Global Revolving Credit Facility amendment
- Cross-default and cross-acceleration provisions
- CRITICAL: Did NOT disclose covenant thresholds
SEC EDGAR Company Search
Company Page: Digital Realty Trust, Inc.
CIK: 0001297996
URL: https://www.sec.gov/edgar/browse/?CIK=1297996
Use: Access all DLR SEC filings
3. GOVERNMENT AND REGULATORY SOURCES - CALIFORNIA UTILITIES
Silicon Valley Power (SVP) - Santa Clara Municipal Utility
Official Website: https://www.siliconvalleypower.com/
Phone: (408) 244-7283
Key Information: Municipal utility serving Santa Clara, data center power provider
Silicon Valley Voice (Official City Coverage)
Article: “Data Centers — Santa Clara’s Third Largest General Fund Revenue Generator”
Date: September 16, 2025
URL: https://www.svvoice.com/data-centers-santa-claras-third-largest-general-fund-revenue-generator/
Key Data:
- Data centers consume 60% of Santa Clara’s total power (700 MW)
- 50+ data centers in city
- Projected demand growth to 1,300 MW
Silicon Valley Magazine
Article: “Why are there so many data centers in Santa Clara?”
Date: January 12, 2025
URL: https://www.siliconvalley.com/2025/01/12/why-are-there-so-many-data-centers-in-santa-clara/
California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC)
Resolution E-5420
Date: October 30, 2025
Subject: Cost allocation for large-load interconnections
Official Portal: https://www.cpuc.ca.gov/rule21/
CPUC - Downey Brand Legal Analysis
Article: “CPUC stretches out reimbursement period for data center energization costs”
Date: November 21, 2025
URL: https://www.downeybrand.com/legal-alerts/california-public-utilities-commission-stretches-out-the-reimbursement-period-for-data-centers-energization-costs-to-reduce-ratepayer-risk/
Key Coverage: New interconnection cost allocation rules
Public Advocates Office - CPUC
Article: “How Will Data Center Growth Impact California Ratepayers?”
Date: October 27, 2025
URL: https://www.publicadvocates.cpuc.ca.gov/press-room/commentary/251027-how-will-data-center-growth-impact-california-ratepayers
California Energy Commission
E-Filing System: https://efiling.energy.ca.gov/
Use: Access to California energy infrastructure filings
4. GOVERNMENT AND REGULATORY SOURCES - LADWP SCATTERGOOD PROJECT
LADWP Official Project Page
Project: Scattergood Generating Station Units 1 and 2 Green Hydrogen-Ready Modernization Project
URL: https://www.ladwp.com/community/construction-projects/west-la/scattergood-generating-station-units-1-and-2-green-hydrogen-ready-modernization-project
Key Information:
- 284 MW current capacity
- December 31, 2029 shutdown deadline
- 330 MW hydrogen-ready replacement
- $800 million project cost
NREL Scattergood Alternatives Study
Title: Scattergood Modernization Alternative Study Final
Date: March 2025 (document dated)
URL: https://www.ladwp.com/sites/default/files/2025-03/Scattergood Moderniazation Alternative Study Final.pdf
Key Findings:
- Critical for firm generation capacity in western LA
- Must address 10+ hour shortfalls for multiple days
- Serves downtown LA and LAX
Scattergood Initial Study/EIR
Document: Initial Study and Environmental Impact Report
Date: October 2023
URL: https://www.ladwp.com/sites/default/files/2023-10/Scattergood Modernization Project - IS.pdf
LADWP Power System Overview
Page: Who We Are - Power System
URL: https://www.ladwp.com/who-we-are/power-system
Coverage: LADWP generation and distribution infrastructure
LADWP News - EIR Approval
Article: “Scattergood Generating Station Modernization Project EIR Approved by Los Angeles Board of Water and Power Commissioners”
Date: October 28, 2025 (approximate)
URL: https://www.ladwpnews.com/scattergood-generating-station-modernization-project-eir-approved-by-los-angeles-board-of-water-and-power-commissioners/
LADWP News - Demand Response
Article: “Board of Water and Power Commissioners Approves Expansion of Demand Response Programs to Deliver 340 MW of Grid Load Flexibility”
URL: https://www.ladwpnews.com/board-of-water-and-power-commissioners-approves-expansion-of-demand-response-programs-to-deliver-340-mw-of-grid-load-flexibility/
LADWP News - CoreSite Partnership
Article: “LADWP and CoreSite Announce Major Energy Savings”
URL: https://www.ladwpnews.com/ladwp-and-coresite-announce-major-energy-savings/
Note: CoreSite is a data center REIT (acquired by American Tower 2021)
LADWP Wikipedia Reference
URL: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Los_Angeles_Department_of_Water_and_Power
Use: Background on LADWP structure and history
LADWP DOE Filing
Document: Los Angeles Department of Water and Power (DOE submission)
URL: https://netl.doe.gov/sites/default/files/2024-02/Los Angeles Department of Water and Power.pdf
5. NEWS SOURCES - LOS ANGELES POWER INFRASTRUCTURE
CalMatters
Article: “Scattergood hydrogen crossroads LADWP”
Date: October 28, 2025
URL: https://calmatters.org/environment/2025/10/scattergood-hydrogen-crossroads-ladwp/
Key Coverage: Federal funding withdrawal, hydrogen technology controversy
WebProNews
Article: “LADWP’s Hydrogen Gamble: Remaking LA’s Power Grid”
Date: November 4, 2025
URL: https://www.webpronews.com/ladwps-hydrogen-gamble-remaking-las-power-grid/
Hydrogen Central
Article: “In Controversial Move, LADWP Says It Will Shift Its Largest Gas Power Plant to Hydrogen”
Date: November 4, 2025
URL: https://hydrogen-central.com/in-controversial-move-ladwp-says-it-will-shift-its-largest-gas-power-plant-to-hydrogen/
Gas to Power Journal
Topic Page: LADWP coverage
URL: https://www.gastopowerjournal.com/itemlist/tag/LADWP
Power Engineering
Article: “Los Angeles Officially Exits Coal”
Date: December 2025
URL: https://www.power-eng.com/coal/los-angeles-officially-exits-coal/
6. TECHNICAL AND INDUSTRY PUBLICATIONS
Tom’s Hardware
Article: “Silicon Valley data centers totalling nearly 100MW could ‘sit empty for years’ due to lack of power”
Date: November 10, 2025
URL: https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/data-centers-in-nvidias-hometown-sit-idle-as-grid-struggles-to-keep-up
Key Coverage: 100 MW combined capacity idle (DLR SJC37 + Stack Infrastructure)
Data Center Dynamics (DCD)
Article: “Silicon Valley data centers stand empty awaiting power connections, report”
Date: November 11, 2025
URL: https://www.datacenterdynamics.com/en/news/silicon-valley-data-centers-stand-empty-awaiting-power-connections-report/
Article: “Digital Realty files to build 13-story data center in Los Angeles, California”
URL: https://www.datacenterdynamics.com/en/news/digital-realty-files-to-build-13-story-data-center-in-los-angeles-california/
Note: LAC10 expansion context
Digitimes
Article: “Data center capacity electricity California”
Date: November 19, 2025
URL: https://www.digitimes.com/news/a20251119PD201/data-center-capacity-electricity-california.html
Energy Connects
Article: “Data centers in Nvidia’s hometown stand empty awaiting power”
Date: November 10, 2025
URL: https://www.energyconnects.com/news/utilities/2025/november/data-centers-in-nvidia-s-hometown-stand-empty-awaiting-power/
Hackr.io Blog
Article: “Silicon Valley Data Centers Power Grid Capacity”
Date: November 10, 2025
URL: https://hackr.io/blog/silicon-valley-data-centers-power-grid-capacity
Dgtl Infra
Article: “Carrier Hotels Data Center”
URL: https://dgtlinfra.com/carrier-hotels-data-center/
Use: Background on carrier hotel facilities like LAC10
7. DIGITAL REALTY OFFICIAL SOURCES
DLR Corporate Investor Relations
Main Page: https://www.digitalrealty.com/investors
Phone: (415) 738-6500
Email: [email protected]
DLR Facility Pages - Silicon Valley
SJC37 - Santa Clara (641 Walsh Ave)
Marketing Page: https://www.digitalrealty.com/data-centers/americas/silicon-valley/sjc37
Key Claims: 48 MW critical IT load capacity
SJC10 - Santa Clara (1100 Space Park Drive)
Marketing Page: https://www.digitalrealty.com/data-centers/americas/silicon-valley/sjc10
DLR Facility Pages - Los Angeles
LAC10/LAX10 - Downtown Los Angeles (600 West 7th Street)
Marketing Page: https://www.digitalrealty.com/data-centers/americas/los-angeles/lax10
Note: Listed as both LAC10 and LAX10 in various sources
LAX12 - El Segundo (2260 E El Segundo Blvd)
Marketing Page: https://www.digitalrealty.com/data-centers/americas/los-angeles/lax12
8. DATA CENTER INDUSTRY DATABASES AND DIRECTORIES
DataCenters.com
DLR SJC37 Listing
URL: https://www.datacenters.com/digital-realty-silicon-valley-sjc37
Capacity Listed: 100 MW (note: conflicts with DLR’s 48 MW claim)
DLR SJC10 Listing
URL: https://www.datacenters.com/digital-realty-silicon-valley-sjc10
DLR LAC10/LAX10 Listing
URL: https://www.datacenters.com/digital-realty-los-angeles-lax10
DLR LAX12 Listing
URL: https://www.datacenters.com/digital-realty-lax12-los-angeles-2260-e-el-segundo-blvd
DataCenterHawk
LAC10 Profile
URL: https://datacenterhawk.com/marketplace/providers/digital-realty/600-west-7th-street/lax10
LAX12 Profile
URL: https://datacenterhawk.com/marketplace/providers/digital-realty/2260-e-el-segundo-boulevard/lax12
SJC10 Profile
URL: https://datacenterhawk.com/marketplace/providers/digital-realty/1100-space-park-drive/sjc10
DataCenterMap
Santa Clara Market Overview
URL: https://www.datacentermap.com/usa/california/santa-clara/
SJC10 Facility Map
URL: https://www.datacentermap.com/usa/california/santa-clara/1100-space-park-drive/
Inflect (formerly RagingWire tracking)
SJC10 Building Profile
URL: https://inflect.com/building/1100-space-park-drive-santa-clara/digital-realty/datacenter/scl1
9. SANTA CLARA MUNICIPAL SOURCES
Santa Clara Building Permit Portal
Search URL: https://aca-prod.accela.com/SANTACLARA/Cap/GlobalSearchResults.aspx?isNewQuery=yes&QueryText=641 Walsh Ave
Key Permit: BLD2019-57176 (December 30, 2019)
Use: Verify construction timeline and completion status
Santa Clara Public Records Request Portal
URL: https://santaclara.nextrequest.com/
Use: Request power consumption data, service agreements
Santa Clara City Contact
Building Department
Phone: (408) 615-2460
10. REFERENCE AND BACKGROUND SOURCES
Southern California Edison (SCE)
Grid Modernization Overview
URL: https://www.edison.com/innovation/grid-modernization-at-southern-california-edison
2024 Grid Modernization Progress Report
URL: https://gridworks.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/SCE-2024-Grid-Modernization-Progress-Report.pdf
Grid Interconnections
URL: https://www.sce.com/residential/generating-your-own-power/Grid-Interconnections
Data Center Services
URL: https://www.sce.com/business/save-costs-energy/savings-by-business-type/data-centers
Utility Dive Article on SCE
Title: “Southern California Edison substantial investments grid resiliency reliability wildfire prevention”
Date: July 31, 2023
URL: https://www.utilitydive.com/news/southern-california-edison-substantial-investments-grid-resiliency-reliability-wildfire-prevention/689385/
Arcadis (Engineering Firm)
Project: Southern California Edison Grid Hardening
URL: https://www.arcadis.com/en-us/projects/north-america/united-states/southern-california-edison
Edison Rebate Case Study
Article: “El Segundo Data Center Receives $1 Million Check for Energy Efficiency Upgrades”
URL: https://newsroom.edison.com/stories/el-segundo-data-center-receives-1-million-check-for-energy-efficiency-upgrades
LADWP Programs
CES2G Program (Energy Storage)
URL: https://www.ladwp.com/commercial-services/programs-and-rebates-commercial/energy-storage/ces2g
11. LEGAL AND POLICY ANALYSIS
CPUC Rule 21 (Interconnection)
Official Rule Page: https://www.cpuc.ca.gov/rule21/
Subject: Generating facility interconnection requirements
APPENDIX A: KEY PERSONNEL QUOTED
Digital Realty Trust
- Jordan Sadler - Spokesman, quoted in Fortune, Mercury News, November 2025
- Crystal Delany - VP of Data Center Portfolio Management, quoted in Fortune, November 2025
Silicon Valley Power
- Manuel Pineda - Chief Electric Utility Officer, quoted in Santa Clara News, November 2024
APPENDIX B: COMPARATIVE REIT DATA (HISTORICAL)
Note on Peer Company Data
The following REITs were acquired 2021-2022 and ceased public filings:
QTS Realty Trust
- Acquired by: Blackstone (August 2021, $10B)
- Last 10-K: 2020
- SEC CIK: Search “QTS Realty” on SEC EDGAR
CyrusOne
- Acquired by: KKR/Global Infrastructure Partners (March 2022, $15B)
- Last 10-K: 2021
- SEC CIK: Search “CyrusOne” on SEC EDGAR
CoreSite Realty
- Acquired by: American Tower (December 2021, $10.1B)
- Last 10-K: 2021
- SEC CIK: Search “CoreSite” on SEC EDGAR
Equinix (EQIX)
- Status: Public (still trading)
- Most recent 10-K: 2024 (filed February 2025)
- SEC CIK: 0001101239
- URL: https://www.sec.gov/edgar/browse/?CIK=1101239
— Free to share, translate, use with attribution: D.T. Frankly (dtfrankly.com)
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